Settlement Reform: What the ILR Changes Mean for Employers
Published 28 August 2026

Key Takeaways
- Earned settlement is still a proposal, not law. The consultation closed on 12 February 2026 with more than 200,000 responses. No Immigration Rules creating a 10-year or 15-year qualifying period have been laid. The five-year route to indefinite leave to remain remains fully in force today.
- Two settlement changes are already in the Rules. English at B2 has been required for new Skilled Worker, Scale-up and High Potential Individual applications since 8 January 2026, and B2 will be required at settlement on specified routes from 26 March 2027.
- The proposal that matters most to sponsors is the 15-year baseline for Skilled Workers in roles below RQF level 6. At least 325,000 visas have been granted in these occupations since 2021, covering most care workers, many chefs, welders, hospitality managers and administrative roles.
- Dependants would have to qualify in their own right, not alongside the main applicant. Median earnings were around £30,200 for employed Skilled Worker dependants and £22,100 for Health and Care dependants, so most would not meet the £50,270 reduction threshold. Families could settle years apart.
- The 10-year long residence route is proposed for abolition. Anyone relying on it, including people who spent years on student or Graduate visas, would be significantly delayed or shut out.
- The government has said it intends to apply the changes retrospectively to people already in the UK without settled status, and to legislate in autumn 2026. Transitional arrangements were consulted on and remain undecided. Both the Home Affairs Committee and the House of Lords Justice and Home Affairs Committee have urged against retrospective application.
- For sponsors, a longer route means longer sponsorship: more extension applications, more Certificates of Sponsorship, a longer Immigration Skills Charge exposure after the 32% increase in December 2025, more repeat right to work checks, and a longer window in which a compliance failure can surface.
- Employers must not give immigration advice. Signposting workers to a regulated adviser is safe. Telling them what their settlement position will be is not.
- WPC HR helps you get ahead of this. Our HR compliance software tracks every sponsored worker's occupation code, permission dates, salary position and check history in one place, and our Sponsor Licence Compliance Audit tells you exactly where your workforce sits before the rules change rather than after.
Introduction
Few immigration topics have generated as much noise, or as much misinformation, as the government's earned settlement plans. Since November 2025 employers have been told variously that the qualifying period for indefinite leave to remain has already doubled, that care workers now face fifteen years, that everything started in April, and that nothing will happen at all. Workers have read the same headlines, and many have brought their anxiety to their line managers.
This guide gives HR teams a clean, accurate picture. It separates three things that are constantly conflated: what has actually changed in the Immigration Rules, what the government has proposed but not enacted, and what remains genuinely undecided. It then sets out what all of this means for you as a sponsor, and what you can sensibly do now whatever the final shape of the reform.
We have been deliberately conservative throughout. Where something is confirmed, we say so and cite the source. Where something is a proposal, we label it a proposal every time it appears. That discipline matters, because the biggest risk to an employer here is not the policy. It is telling a worker something confident that later turns out to be wrong.
Confirmed, Proposed or Undecided: Where Settlement Reform Actually Stands
The direction was set in the May 2025 immigration white paper, Restoring Control over the Immigration System, which said settlement would no longer be granted automatically after a fixed period. Everything since has been an attempt to work out what that means in practice.
Start with the distinction that resolves most of the confusion. Immigration policy moves through recognisable stages: a white paper, a consultation, a government response, a statement of changes to the Immigration Rules, and a commencement date. Earned settlement has reached the consultation stage and no further. The exceptions are the English language changes, which have been written into the Rules and have dates.
The table below is the version of this we would give a board.
| Item | Status as at August 2026 | What it means for you |
|---|---|---|
| Five-year route to ILR for Skilled Workers | Confirmed and in force | Unchanged. Workers who reach five years' continuous residence and meet the other requirements can apply now. |
| B2 English for new Skilled Worker, Scale-up and HPI applications | Confirmed. In force since 8 January 2026 | Screen candidates for B2 before you assign a Certificate of Sponsorship. Those who held the visa before that date are still assessed at B1 on extension. |
| B2 English at settlement (up from B1) | Confirmed. Laid 5 March 2026, in force 26 March 2027 | Applies to specified routes. Workers settling from that date will need a higher level. Around 200 hours of additional study, on Home Office estimates. |
| 10-year baseline qualifying period | Proposed. Consulted on, not enacted | Plan for it as a scenario. Do not tell workers it is happening. |
| 15-year baseline for roles below RQF level 6 | Proposed. Consulted on, not enacted | The highest-impact proposal for most sponsors. Model it, but do not present it as settled. |
| Dependants qualifying in their own right | Proposed | Would change family planning for a large part of your sponsored workforce. |
| Abolition of the 10-year long residence route | Proposed | Affects workers who spent years on student, Graduate or other non-qualifying permission. |
| Five-year reductions for family of British citizens and BN(O) holders | Proposed but expressly NOT subject to consultation | The minister confirmed on 2 February 2026 that these two discounts are firm. |
| Reductions for high earners, public service and volunteering | Proposed. Thresholds and the public service list not fixed | Detail is likely to change. |
| No Recourse to Public Funds at settlement | Proposed as one option | Would change what settlement means. Undecided. |
| Retrospective application to people already in the UK | Stated government intention, not yet in Rules | Assume it is likely, but it has not happened and both parliamentary committees have opposed it. |
| Transitional protections for those part-way through | Consulted on. Not decided | The single biggest open question for your existing workforce. |
| Implementation | Home Secretary and immigration minister have indicated autumn 2026 | Could come via Immigration Rules or primary legislation. Commencement could be later than laying. |
The primary sources are the Earned settlement consultation page on GOV.UK and the command paper A Fairer Pathway to Settlement (CP 1448). The consultation page still reads "We are analysing your feedback", which is the plainest possible confirmation that no outcome has been published. The House of Commons Library maintains an FAQ briefing, Changes to UK visa and settlement rules after the 2025 immigration white paper, which is the best single tracker of what has and has not come into force. Its companion briefing on immigration reforms covers the asylum side of the same package. The statement of changes collection on GOV.UK is where any new Rules will appear.
What Has Already Changed in the Immigration Rules
Several changes are real, dated and worth acting on. They are the only settlement-adjacent items that have moved from proposal to Rules.
B2 English at the point of application, since 8 January 2026
New applicants for the Skilled Worker, Scale-up and High Potential Individual routes must demonstrate English at level B2 on the Common European Framework of Reference, up from B1. The Home Office describes B2 as broadly equivalent to A level standard in English as a foreign language, and B1 as GCSE standard. Applicants who already held one of these visas before 8 January 2026 and are applying to extend or update it continue to be assessed against B1. The current position is on the Skilled Worker visa: knowledge of English page.
The consequence for recruiters is immediate. A candidate who would have qualified in 2025 may not qualify now. The requirement can be met through a Secure English Language Test, a degree taught in English, or nationality of a majority English-speaking country. Build the check into screening before you commit to a Certificate of Sponsorship, because a refusal after CoS assignment costs you the fee and the vacancy.
B2 English at settlement, from 26 March 2027
On 5 March 2026 the government laid a statement of changes to the Immigration Rules (HC 1619) raising the English language level required for indefinite leave to remain from B1 to B2. The explanatory memorandum confirms the change takes effect on 26 March 2027, and the Home Office was explicit that applicants were being given a full year's notice. In its announcement, the department called it "the first delivery moment of the government's Earned Settlement reforms".
Two points of precision matter here, and a lot of commentary gets them wrong. First, the change applies to the specific routes named in the statement of changes, not to every route with an English requirement at settlement. Second, the government has said it is continuing to consider whether the B2 standard should be extended more widely. So the scope may grow, and you should check the current position for the particular route your worker is on rather than assuming universal application.
This is nonetheless the one part of earned settlement you can plan around with confidence. Any sponsored worker on an affected route expecting to apply for settlement from 26 March 2027 will need B2, and moving from B1 to B2 is estimated at around 200 hours of learning. For a worker four years into their route with a B1 pass, that is not something they can do in the fortnight before their application.
Other confirmed changes that affect the same workforce
Three further items are already in force and belong in the same planning conversation.
- The Skilled Worker skills threshold returned to RQF level 6 on 22 July 2025, removing more than 100 occupations from the eligible list and leaving a Temporary Shortage List of medium-skilled roles considered critical. Overseas recruitment of care workers ended on the same date.
- The Immigration Skills Charge rose by 32% in December 2025. That increase compounds every additional year of sponsorship a longer settlement route would create.
- A visa brake took effect on 26 March 2026. Citizens of Afghanistan, Cameroon, Myanmar and Sudan are no longer eligible for student visas, and citizens of Afghanistan are no longer eligible for Skilled Worker visas. If you have an Afghan national in a sponsored recruitment pipeline, that route is closed. The government says the brake is not permanent and will be reviewed.
The Migration Advisory Committee is separately reviewing which medium-skilled occupations should remain on the Temporary Shortage List beyond the end of 2026. That review interacts directly with the 15-year proposal, because the same RQF boundary decides both who can be sponsored and, if the proposal proceeds, who faces the longer route. Our guide to SOC codes and going rates explains how the occupation classification works.
The Settlement Rules That Still Apply Today
Because so much commentary is written in the future tense, it is worth restating the position that governs your workforce right now. GOV.UK's indefinite leave to remain guidance is unambiguous: a person on a work visa must usually have lived and worked in the UK for five years, with three years for Global Talent and Innovator Founder.
| Requirement | Current position |
|---|---|
| Qualifying period | Five years' continuous residence in a qualifying route. |
| Absences | No more than 180 days outside the UK in any rolling 12-month period across the qualifying period. |
| Sponsorship | The sponsor must still require the worker for the foreseeable future in the sponsored role. |
| Salary | The applicant must be paid at or above the relevant settlement salary requirement for their occupation. |
| English language | B1 currently. Rising to B2 on specified routes from 26 March 2027. |
| Life in the UK test | Must be passed, unless exempt. |
| Suitability | Assessed under Part Suitability of the Immigration Rules, which replaced the old Part 9 general grounds. The current criminality threshold is generally a sentence of 12 months or more. |
| Long residence | A separate route allows settlement after 10 years' continuous lawful residence, counting time on visas that do not otherwise qualify. Proposed for abolition. |
The application route itself is set out on GOV.UK's page for settlement on a Tier 2, T2, International Sportsperson or Skilled Worker visa, which is the page your workers will actually use.
Three points routinely trip people up. First, several major categories do not count towards the five-year route at all, including Student, Graduate and Senior or Specialist Worker permission. A worker who studied here for three years and then switched into sponsorship starts their settlement clock at the switch, not at arrival. Second, the qualifying clock and the visa expiry date are different things. Our group has written about this in detail at WorkPermitCloud in What counts towards your five-year ILR qualifying period and When will you be eligible for ILR as a Skilled Worker. Third, the sponsor has an active role at settlement, because the application asks whether the employer still needs the worker. A sponsor who has quietly let a role lapse can derail an employee's application without realising it.
What Earned Settlement Actually Proposes
The consultation proposes replacing a fixed qualifying period with what it calls a "time adjustment" model, built on four pillars: suitability, integration, contribution, and entry and residence. Everyone starts at a baseline, and that baseline moves up or down depending on listed considerations. It is worth reading on its own terms rather than through the headlines, which have consistently reported the baseline as though it were the outcome.
The proposed baselines
| Group | Proposed baseline | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Most migrants | 10 years | Up from five. Proposed, not enacted. |
| Skilled Workers in roles below RQF level 6 | 15 years | RQF 3 to 5. One of three options consulted on for reducing settlement volumes. |
| Refugees on the core protection route | 20 years | Proposed in the separate Restoring Order and Control asylum statement. Reductions available for those who take up work or study. |
| Global Talent and Innovator Founder | Effectively 3 years retained | Via a proposed 7-year reduction for three years' continuous residence. |
| Partner, parent or child of a British citizen | Effectively 5 years retained | Five-year reduction. Expressly not subject to consultation. |
| British National (Overseas) route | Effectively 5 years retained | Five-year reduction. Expressly not subject to consultation. |
| EU Settlement Scheme and Windrush Scheme | Out of scope | The government has not proposed changes to settled status under these schemes. |
The minister for migration and citizenship, Mike Tapp, confirmed the two firm discounts during the Westminster Hall debate on 2 February 2026: "the proposals that are not subject to consultation are five-year discounts for two groups of people", namely partners, parents and children of British citizens, and British National (Overseas) visa holders. Everything else in the model remains open.
The proposed mandatory minimums
Every applicant would have to satisfy a set of minimum requirements before any adjustment is considered. The consultation states the government is not consulting on whether these should be included, with the exception of the length of time the earnings requirement should apply for.
| Pillar | Proposed minimum requirement |
|---|---|
| Suitability | Meet the suitability requirements in Part Suitability of the Immigration Rules, for example not having a criminal conviction. No current litigation, NHS, tax or other government debt. |
| Integration | English at B2 under the Common European Framework of Reference, and a pass in the Life in the UK test. |
| Contribution | Annual earnings above £12,570 for a minimum of three to five years, in line with the income tax and National Insurance thresholds, or an alternative amount of income. The length of this period is subject to consultation. |
Three details deserve employer attention.
The earnings floor is lower than it first appears but wider in effect than people assume. £12,570 a year is roughly a 19-hour week at the 2026 to 2027 National Living Wage, so it is not a high bar for a full-time sponsored worker. It is a serious bar for people who are not working at all, and the Migration Observatory estimates that the number of potential settlement applicants who are not in work runs into the hundreds of thousands, concentrated among dependants and family visa holders.
The consultation proposes exemptions from the earnings requirement for people on maternity leave or with a long-term illness or disability, and invited views on whether other groups should be exempt. That is directly relevant to HR. A sponsored worker taking maternity leave should not, on the proposal as published, be penalised for it. Until the final rules appear, do not assert this to an individual, but it is worth knowing that the point has not been overlooked.
The criminality wording is a genuine uncertainty. The current threshold is generally a sentence of 12 months or more. "Not having a criminal conviction" could be read far more strictly. The Commons Library has flagged this explicitly. If a member of your workforce has a minor conviction, the honest answer today is that nobody knows how the final rule will treat it.
The debt condition is also broader than most people assume. "No current litigation, NHS, tax or other government debt" could catch an unpaid NHS invoice or a self-assessment underpayment. It is not an employer's job to police this, but it is a reason to make sure workers know where to get regulated advice early rather than discovering a problem at application.
The proposed reductions
Where more than one reduction applies, only the largest is used. Reductions and increases across the two tables are combined, and increases take precedence over reductions.
| Pillar | Proposed attribute | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|
| Integration | English at C1 level | Minus 1 year |
| Contribution | Taxable income of £125,140 for the three years immediately before applying | Minus 7 years |
| Contribution | Taxable income of £50,270 for the three years immediately before applying | Minus 5 years |
| Contribution | Employed in a specified public service occupation for five years | Minus 5 years |
| Contribution | Community work such as volunteering | Minus 3 to 5 years |
| Entry and residence | Parent, partner or child of a British citizen meeting core family requirements | Minus 5 years (not subject to consultation) |
| Entry and residence | Permission under the British National (Overseas) route | Minus 5 years (not subject to consultation) |
| Entry and residence | Three years' continuous residence as a Global Talent or Innovator Founder | Minus 7 years |
Note that the list of "specified public service occupations" has not been published. The Commons Library indicates it is expected to relate to public sector healthcare and teaching roles with national pay scales, and the Migration Observatory describes it as education and NHS roles with a list to be confirmed. Do not tell a worker in a public service role that they will qualify. The list does not yet exist.
The proposed increases
| Pillar | Proposed attribute | Adjustment |
|---|---|---|
| Contribution | In receipt of public funds for less than 12 months during the route to settlement | Plus 5 years |
| Contribution | In receipt of public funds for more than 12 months during the route to settlement | Plus 10 years |
| Entry and residence | Arrived in the UK illegally | Plus up to 20 years |
| Entry and residence | Entered the UK on a visit visa | Plus up to 20 years |
| Entry and residence | Overstayed a permission for six months or more | Plus up to 20 years |
The consultation gives its own worked example. An applicant who received public funds for less than 12 months but meets the C1 English consideration would face an upward adjustment of five years and a downward adjustment of one, producing a net increase of four years and a total qualifying period of 14 years. Taken across the whole model, the range of possible outcomes runs from three years to a maximum of thirty.
It bears repeating: none of these figures is law. Every one was published for consultation, more than 200,000 people responded, and the government has said it is considering those responses before bringing further reforms forward.
Two proposals that get far less coverage than they deserve
The first is the abolition of the 10-year long residence route. That route currently lets someone settle after ten years of continuous lawful residence, counting time on permissions that do not otherwise qualify, including Student and Graduate visas. The Home Affairs Committee pointed out that an individual could have spent as long as nine years building towards it and would be either prevented from settling or significantly delayed. If you employ people who came to the UK as students and switched into work, this may matter more to them than the headline ten-year baseline.
The second is the proposal that accompanying family members of people on work visas would need to qualify for settlement in their own right rather than alongside their sponsor. We deal with that in its own section below, because for many sponsored workers it is the part of the reform that will hit hardest.
The 15-Year Proposal and Why It Matters Most to Sponsors
If you sponsor workers, this is the proposal to watch. The consultation proposes increasing the qualifying period to 15 years for those on the Skilled Worker route in a role below RQF level 6, the level equivalent to a bachelor's degree. In practice that captures RQF levels 3 to 5, and it is a much wider group than the phrase "lower-skilled" suggests.
The Home Affairs Committee, in its report on the proposed reforms published on 13 March 2026, found that more than 325,000 visas have been granted to medium-skilled workers since 2021, excluding dependants. The affected occupations include chefs, welders, many administrative and business roles, and the great majority of care workers. Evidence to the Committee included the example of a well-paid general manager at a luxury hotel who would be caught, because "hotel and accommodation managers and proprietors" sits below RQF 6 even though the salary is substantial.
That mismatch between skill classification and earnings is the crux of it. The reductions are driven by income, but the baseline is driven by occupation code. A worker in a below-RQF-6 role earning £50,270 would, on the published tables, start at 15 years and reduce by five, landing at ten. A worker in an RQF 6 role on the same salary would start at ten and reduce by five, landing at five. Same pay, same contribution, very different outcome.
It is also worth noting the gap between the Skilled Worker salary threshold and the settlement reduction threshold. The general salary floor for many Skilled Worker applicants sits well below £50,270, which means a large group of workers can be comfortably above the visa requirement and comfortably below the level that would shorten their route to settlement.
If you are not confident which of your sponsored roles sit below RQF 6, that is the first piece of homework. The occupation code on the Certificate of Sponsorship determines the classification. Our guide to SOC codes and going rates sets out how those codes work and how the Home Office tests them, and our guide to Certificates of Sponsorship covers what has to match on the CoS itself.
Dependants, Partners and Children
This is the least-reported and, for many workforces, the most consequential part of the proposal.
Under the current system, dependants generally reach settlement broadly in line with the main applicant, subject to meeting residence and relationship requirements. The consultation proposes that accompanying family members of people on work visas would instead need to qualify in their own right. Reductions would be applied at individual level, not household level.
The arithmetic is stark. The Home Affairs Committee recorded median income of around £30,200 among employed Skilled Worker dependants and around £22,100 among Health and Care dependants, against main applicant median income of £56,600 for Skilled Workers excluding Health and Care. Most main applicants would therefore secure the five-year reduction. Most dependants would not, and would face the ten-year baseline. HMRC data cited in the consultation also indicates that around half of adult Skilled Worker dependants and a third of Health and Care dependants were not working at all, which raises the separate question of the mandatory earnings minimum.
The practical picture for an employer is a senior sponsored employee who settles in five years while their spouse waits another five, with all the fee, health surcharge and status insecurity that implies. The House of Lords Justice and Home Affairs Committee recommended that dependants should be able to qualify at the same time as the main applicant where household income is sufficiently high and the household is a significant net positive contributor. Whether the government accepts that is unknown.
Children are less clear still. Under current rules children generally become eligible alongside their parents. The consultation says little about how children would be treated, and the Home Affairs Committee said it is "currently unclear how these changes will apply to children, especially children who turn 18 before their parents achieve settlement". Both committees recommended that children who grow up in the UK should receive settled status by 18. On a ten or fifteen year family route, a child who arrives at eight would turn 18 before the family settles. Nobody yet knows what happens to that child.
For an employer this is a wellbeing and retention issue long before it is a compliance one. An employee under sustained family and financial stress is an employee at risk of leaving the country, not just the job.
Retrospective Application and Transitional Protections
This is the question your workforce will ask, and the honest answer is that it has not been resolved.
The government's direction is clear enough. The consultation stated: "we propose to apply these changes to everyone in the country today who has not already received indefinite leave to remain". In her speech at the IPPR on 5 March 2026, the Home Secretary said it was "entirely consistent with Labour values" to address the impending settlement of large numbers of lower-skilled workers and their dependants who arrived between 2022 and 2024, and that this "means applying any rule changes to those who are in the UK today but have not yet received settled status".
What has not been settled is whether transitional protections will soften that. The minister told MPs on 2 February 2026 that while some rule changes are firm, "much of the proposal, for example transitional arrangements, is very much being consulted on", and that he could not prejudge the outcome. That remains the government's position.
Two things are worth holding on to. First, people who already hold indefinite leave to remain do not lose it. The reform concerns how people qualify, not the status of those who already have it. Second, there is now a live precedent for transitional protection within this very package: the explanatory memorandum to HC 1619 records that adults and children granted five years' leave following an asylum claim or further submissions made by 1 March 2026 remain eligible to apply for settlement after five years under Appendix Settlement Protection. Transitional protection is clearly something the government is willing to do when it chooses to.
There is also a procedural point. Changes to the Immigration Rules take effect without a parliamentary vote; to stop them MPs must pass a motion of disapproval within 40 days, and the government is not obliged to allow a debate on one. Prayer motions were tabled against the July 2025 and March 2026 statements of changes and neither was voted on. However, ministers have also suggested that earned settlement could be delivered through primary legislation instead, with the immigration minister saying "it depends on exactly where we land". So the vehicle itself is uncertain, which affects how much warning employers will get.
Our sister firm WorkPermitCloud has followed each stage of this for individual applicants, including the original 2025 overhaul and the 10 to 30 year model, what skilled workers should do before the consultation closed, the parliamentary debate on the 10-year and 15-year routes, the outcome of the consultation, the confirmation of the B2 rules and the delay to the 10-year plan, and the House of Lords settlement report. If your workers want to understand their own position, that is a better place to send them than a general news site.
What Parliament Has Said
Two select committees have now reported, and both went against the government on the central points. Neither binds the government, but together they are the clearest signal available about where the policy may soften.
Home Affairs Committee, 13 March 2026
The Commons Home Affairs Committee report focused on adult social care and children. On care it described an "extremely difficult choice": leave eligibility unchanged and hundreds of thousands of care workers and dependants become eligible for settled status within a few years, or proceed with a 15-year route and workers either leave the sector or remain "at prolonged risk of poverty and exploitation". It recommended urgent action on pay and conditions if the 15-year default proceeds. On retrospectivity it concluded it is "difficult to see a justification" for applying the changes to people who arrived before 2021.
House of Lords Justice and Home Affairs Committee, 23 June 2026
The Lords report on Settlement, Citizenship and Integration (HL Paper 13) is the most recent and most forceful parliamentary intervention. The Committee did not support extending the baseline to 10 years, to 15 years for work visas below RQF 6, or to 20 years for refugees on the core protection route. It suggested instead that the government explore keeping the five-year baseline while separating settlement from access to public funds, with migrants remaining subject to No Recourse to Public Funds until ten years' residence or citizenship.
On retrospective application the Committee was blunt, saying any retrospective change would be "manifestly unfair, and may be unlawful", and that the UK's reputation would suffer. It also recommended that income thresholds be reviewed by the Migration Advisory Committee and based on fiscal contribution and labour market considerations rather than income tax bands, that dependants be able to settle with the main applicant where household income is sufficient, and that children who grow up in the UK receive settled status by 18.
Two findings should concern employers directly. The Committee described official migration data as "woefully inadequate", noting an absence of departure records for migrants arriving or due to leave between 2021 and 2026. And it questioned whether the Home Office has the capacity to deliver the new system at all, warning that the extra checks and extension applications "could significantly increase workloads for a department that is already struggling with backlogs and staff shortages". If you sponsor workers, longer processing times are a workforce planning problem, not an abstraction.
The Committee was careful to say its objection is not to the concept of earning settlement, which it called a "sensible and internationally implemented approach", but to the detail of these proposals.
Where the response stands
As at the end of August 2026 the government has not published its response to the consultation, nor to either committee report. The response to the Lords report was due around 23 August 2026 and the response to the Home Affairs Committee report is overdue. Two public petitions on the subject each passed 100,000 signatures, with one reaching over 234,000, and Westminster Hall debates were held in September 2025, February 2026 and March 2026. There is no shortage of pressure. There is simply no decision yet.
What a Longer Route to Settlement Would Mean for Employers
Most coverage of earned settlement is written from the migrant's perspective. The employer consequences are less discussed and, for a sponsor, more immediately practical.
Longer sponsorship, and everything that comes with it
Settlement is the point at which a worker leaves your sponsorship. Push that point from five years to ten or fifteen and you are sponsoring the same person for two or three times as long. That means more extension applications, more Certificates of Sponsorship, a longer period over which the Immigration Skills Charge is payable, more repeat right to work checks, and a longer window during which a reporting failure or record-keeping gap can surface on a compliance visit. Our sponsor duties checklist sets out what those obligations look like over the life of a licence, our guide to right to work checks in 2026 covers the repeat check cycle for workers with time-limited permission, and the consequences of getting it wrong are in our guide to suspension, downgrade and revocation.
The cost effect is easy to underestimate. The Migration Observatory calculates that a migrant with no dependants arriving on a three-year Skilled Worker visa currently pays around £9,900 in fees before settling at five years, excluding the employer's Immigration Skills Charge. On a ten-year route that rises to around £16,900, mostly because the Immigration Health Surcharge is payable for every year of residence. Add the December 2025 Immigration Skills Charge increase of 32% on the employer side, and sponsorship costs that were modelled as a five-year commitment become a ten or fifteen year one. Whether those costs sit with the employer or the worker is a matter for your contracts, but note that the Home Office prohibits passing on certain costs, and clawback arrangements are an area where sponsors regularly get into difficulty.
Retention, and the incentive nobody should act on
Evidence to the Home Affairs Committee included a warning worth quoting carefully. Professor Alan Manning, a former chair of the Migration Advisory Committee, told the Committee that an income threshold for reduced settlement time "would give an incentive to employers to suppress wages for migrant workers to delay their settlement", because settlement makes it easier for an employee to leave their current job. The Migration Observatory reaches the same conclusion from the other direction, noting that employers offering poor pay and conditions are more likely to benefit from a longer route "because workers find it harder to leave the job", at the cost of higher risks of exploitation.
We raise this not because we expect any reader to do it, but because responsible employers should name the risk and guard against it. Deliberately holding a sponsored worker's pay below a threshold to keep them tied to you would be exploitative, would very likely breach the Equality Act 2010 if it produced a racial disparity, and would sit extremely badly with the Home Office and the Fair Work Agency. If your pay review process treats sponsored and non-sponsored staff differently, fix that now.
The constructive reading is the opposite one. Longer sponsorship gives you a longer relationship with a worker who cannot easily move, and that is a reason to invest in them rather than take them for granted. Workers who feel trapped leave the country, not just the employer.
Recruitment from overseas becomes a harder sell
Settlement is part of the offer, whether or not it appears in the job advert. A route that reaches permanence in five years is a materially different proposition from one that takes fifteen, particularly for candidates weighing the UK against Canada, Australia or the Gulf. The Migration Observatory notes that a ten-year standard route would make the UK more restrictive than most other high-income countries, and that waits of 15 to 30 years would be unusual internationally. Expect that conversation to get harder, and be careful not to compensate by making promises about settlement you are in no position to keep.
Adult Social Care: The Sharpest Edge of the Reform
No sector is more exposed. The consultation is explicit that the forecast increase in settlement grants is driven by immigration in 2022 to 2024, especially on Health and Care visas, and the Home Office projects around 1.6 million people receiving settlement between 2026 and 2030 with a peak of around 450,000 in 2028. Speaking in the February 2026 debate, the immigration minister put the number of people expected to become eligible to settle across the same period at 2.2 million.
The Home Affairs Committee set out the dilemma in terms care providers will recognise. If eligibility is unchanged, hundreds of thousands of care workers and their dependants become eligible within a few years. If the 15-year route proceeds, workers either leave the sector and return home, increasing vacancies and cost pressures, or they remain at prolonged risk of poverty and exploitation. Over 250,000 out-of-country visas were granted for care or middle-skilled jobs between 2021 and September 2025, with a further 71,000 switching directly from study visas between 2021 and 2024.
Care providers therefore face a planning problem on two fronts at once. Sponsorship compliance in the sector is already under intense scrutiny, and combining a long sponsorship horizon with an already fragile workforce is difficult. We have written a full guide to the current position at care sector sponsor licence compliance, and it is worth reading alongside this one, because the reform does not change any of your existing duties. It simply extends the period over which you have to meet them.
What Employers Should Do Now
The temptation with a proposal is to wait. That is a mistake here, because almost everything worth doing is worth doing regardless of which way the reform lands.
- Map your sponsored workforce against RQF level. For each sponsored worker, record the occupation code on their Certificate of Sponsorship and whether it sits above or below RQF 6. This single piece of data determines who is exposed to the 15-year proposal, and most sponsors do not hold it in usable form.
- Record each worker's settlement position. Qualifying period start date, permission expiry, absences to date, current English level, whether they have passed the Life in the UK test, and whether any time on their record is non-qualifying such as Student or Graduate permission. If the rules change, you will need this within days, not weeks.
- Deal with B2 now, not in 2027. Any worker on an affected route likely to apply for settlement from 26 March 2027 needs B2. Identify who holds only a B1 pass, tell them the requirement is changing, and consider whether supporting English language study is a sensible retention investment. Two hundred hours of study is a long lead time.
- Look at dependants too. Understand which of your sponsored workers have partners in the UK and whether those partners are working. The proposal that dependants qualify in their own right will land hardest on households with one earner, and those employees will need support and time long before they need advice.
- Check your absence records are real. The 180-day rule is applied on the evidence, and reconstructing five years of travel from memory at application stage is where good cases fall apart. A dated absence log maintained contemporaneously is worth far more than a spreadsheet built in a panic.
- Audit your pay position against going rates and thresholds. Salary sits at the centre of both the current settlement requirement and the proposed reductions, and it is the most common source of sponsor error. Our guide to SOC codes and going rates covers how the Home Office tests this.
- Model the scenarios financially. Build a simple model of what your sponsorship costs look like if the qualifying period is five, ten or fifteen years, including the higher Immigration Skills Charge. You do not need certainty to do this, and having the numbers ready beats being asked for them at short notice.
- Agree what you will and will not say to workers. Write a short internal line, approved by whoever owns immigration compliance, and make sure managers use it. Something factual and calm, pointing to a regulated adviser for individual questions.
- Watch for the government response and the statement of changes. The response will be published on the GOV.UK consultation page. A statement of changes can take effect quickly, and the government may instead legislate, so monitoring beats reacting.
A short internal line you can adapt
Employers often ask for wording. The following is a starting point, not legal advice, and you should adapt it to your organisation.
"The government has proposed changes to how people qualify for indefinite leave to remain, including a longer standard qualifying period. Those proposals are not law and no decision has been announced. One change is confirmed: from 26 March 2027 the English language level required for settlement rises from B1 to B2 on certain routes. We will tell you as soon as anything is confirmed. We cannot advise you on your personal immigration position, so if you have questions about your own case please speak to a regulated immigration adviser."
What Employers Should Not Do
Giving immigration advice in the UK is a regulated activity. An HR manager explaining the general position is one thing. An HR manager telling a named individual when they will qualify for settlement is quite another, and it is a line that is easy to cross with the best of intentions. GOV.UK maintains a service to find an immigration adviser, and pointing workers there costs you nothing and protects everyone. The same applies to the Life in the UK test: you can tell people it exists and is required, but the booking and the preparation are theirs.
| Avoid this | Why |
|---|---|
| Telling workers what their settlement date will be under the new rules | No new rules exist. Giving individual immigration advice is a regulated activity, and an employer who gets it wrong may face a claim as well as a very difficult conversation. |
| Making settlement promises in offer letters or recruitment materials | You cannot control the Immigration Rules. A promise you cannot keep is a liability, and it will not survive a change of policy. |
| Holding pay below a threshold to delay a worker's settlement | Exploitative, likely discriminatory if it produces a racial disparity, and a serious reputational and regulatory risk. |
| Treating sponsored and non-sponsored staff differently in pay reviews, promotion or training | An Equality Act 2010 risk that becomes much more visible when settlement timelines depend on income. |
| Assuming the 15-year proposal will not affect you because your roles are skilled | RQF 6 is degree level. Many well-paid, genuinely skilled roles sit below it, including hospitality management and a range of technical trades. |
| Telling a worker in a public service role that they will keep a five-year route | The list of specified public service occupations has not been published. |
| Assuming dependants will settle when the main applicant does | The proposal is that they qualify in their own right. This has not been decided either way. |
| Waiting for certainty before collecting data | The data gathering is useful in every scenario, including the one where nothing changes. |
| Relying on news headlines | Coverage of this topic has been consistently ahead of the actual legal position. Work from GOV.UK and Parliament, or from an adviser who does. |
What to Watch, and When
| When | What | Where to look |
|---|---|---|
| Overdue now | Government response to the Home Affairs Committee report of 13 March 2026. | Committee publications page |
| Due late August 2026 | Government response to the House of Lords Justice and Home Affairs Committee report of 23 June 2026. | Committee publications page |
| Autumn 2026 | Government response to the consultation, and the finalised earned settlement policy. Both the Home Secretary and the immigration minister have pointed to the autumn. | GOV.UK earned settlement consultation page |
| On publication | Either a statement of changes to the Immigration Rules, which takes effect without a vote unless MPs pass a motion of disapproval within 40 days, or primary legislation. Ministers have not confirmed which. | GOV.UK statement of changes collection |
| Summer 2026 onwards | Migration Advisory Committee review of the medium-skilled Temporary Shortage List, which affects which roles can be sponsored beyond the end of 2026. | MAC publications |
| 26 March 2027 | B2 English requirement at settlement takes effect on specified routes. Already in the Rules. | HC 1619 and its explanatory memorandum |
| Ongoing | Whether transitional protections are offered, and to whom. The single biggest unknown for existing sponsored workers. | Government response to consultation |
One nuance worth holding on to. Rules laid in autumn 2026 would not necessarily come into force immediately. They could be given a later commencement date, and the Commons Library notes they could be left until 2027 to align with the B2 English change. Plan for a range, not a date.
How Can WPC HR Help?
Everything in the "what to do now" list comes down to one thing: knowing, precisely and instantly, where every sponsored worker stands. That is exactly the problem WPC HR was built to solve. Our HR compliance software holds each worker's occupation code, permission dates, salary history, absence record, right to work check history and document expiry in a single dated audit trail, so that when a statement of changes lands you can answer "who does this affect and by how much" the same day rather than the same quarter. It prompts repeat checks before they fall due, flags salary positions that drift below the required rate, and keeps the evidence in a form that stands up on a compliance visit.
If you would rather have a specialist look at the whole picture first, our Sponsor Licence Compliance Audit reviews your sponsored workforce against current requirements, identifies which roles sit below RQF level 6, checks your records against what the Home Office would expect to find, and gives you a prioritised action plan. It is the sensible first step for any sponsor who wants to be ready for settlement reform without guessing at its final shape. And where a worker needs advice on their own settlement position, our group firm WorkPermitCloud advises individuals on indefinite leave to remain directly, which keeps you on the right side of the line between information and advice.
📞 Call us: 020 8087 2343
📅 Book a free compliance audit: wpchr.co.uk/sponsor-licence-compliance-audit
🔗 See the platform: wpchr.co.uk/hr-compliance-software-features
Conclusion
Settlement reform is the largest proposed change to UK immigration in a generation, and as at August 2026 it remains exactly that: proposed. The five-year route is still in force, the tables of reductions and increases are still consultation material, and the parts written into the Rules are the English language changes, B2 at application since January 2026 and B2 at settlement from 26 March 2027. Anyone telling you more than that is ahead of the evidence.
That does not make this a wait-and-see issue. The government has said plainly that it intends to legislate and to apply the changes to people already here. The 15-year proposal for roles below RQF level 6 would reach deep into care, hospitality, construction and logistics workforces. The proposal that dependants qualify in their own right would reshape family life for a large part of the sponsored population. And the abolition of the long residence route would catch people nobody is currently talking about.
Both parliamentary committees that have examined the plans have pushed back hard, particularly on retrospectivity. That is not a guarantee of anything, but it is a reason to expect the final policy to differ from the consultation, and a further reason not to tell your workforce what is coming.
Every action worth taking now, mapping occupation codes, recording settlement positions, sorting out B2 early, cleaning up absence records, understanding your dependants, is useful whether the reform arrives in full, in part, or not at all. The employers who come through this well will be the ones who kept their facts straight, resisted advising on matters they are not qualified to advise on, and had their data in order before it was needed. If you would like help getting to that position, we would be glad to talk.
Glossary
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| Indefinite leave to remain (ILR) | Permission to live, work and study in the UK without time restriction. Also called settlement or settled status. |
| Earned settlement | The government's proposed model under which settlement is granted on the basis of contribution, integration, conduct and residence rather than after a fixed period. |
| CP 1448 | A Fairer Pathway to Settlement, the command paper published on 20 November 2025 containing the earned settlement proposals and consultation. |
| Baseline qualifying period | Under the proposal, the starting number of years before reductions or increases are applied. |
| Time adjustment model | The proposed mechanism by which the baseline moves up or down according to listed considerations, with only the largest in each table applied and increases taking precedence. |
| RQF | Regulated Qualifications Framework. RQF 6 is degree level. The 15-year proposal targets Skilled Worker roles below RQF 6, that is RQF 3 to 5. |
| CEFR | Common European Framework of Reference for Languages. B1 is broadly GCSE standard, B2 broadly A level standard and C1 broadly degree standard in English as a foreign language. |
| Statement of changes | The instrument by which the Immigration Rules are amended. It takes effect without a parliamentary vote unless MPs pass a motion of disapproval within 40 days. |
| Transitional arrangements | Temporary measures protecting people already in the system when a policy changes. Consulted on for earned settlement, not yet decided. |
| Long residence route | The existing route to settlement after 10 years' continuous lawful residence, counting time on permissions that do not otherwise qualify. Proposed for abolition. |
| Continuous residence | The unbroken period of lawful residence counted towards settlement, subject to the 180-day absence limit in any rolling 12 months. |
| Part Suitability | The part of the Immigration Rules containing the general suitability grounds, which replaced the former Part 9. |
| No Recourse to Public Funds (NRPF) | A condition preventing access to most benefits. Proposed for application at settlement as one option, and recommended by the Lords committee as an alternative to longer qualifying periods. |
| Immigration Skills Charge | The charge payable by sponsors for most Skilled Worker sponsorship, increased by 32% in December 2025. |
| Temporary Shortage List | The list of medium-skilled occupations that remain sponsorable after the skills threshold returned to RQF 6 in July 2025, currently under Migration Advisory Committee review. |
FAQ
Frequently asked questions
No. As at August 2026 the standard route for Skilled Workers remains five years. The ten-year baseline was put out for consultation in November 2025, the consultation closed on 12 February 2026 with more than 200,000 responses, and no Immigration Rules creating a ten-year qualifying period have been laid. GOV.UK's own indefinite leave to remain guidance still states that a person on a work visa must usually have lived and worked in the UK for five years.
The English language changes. New Skilled Worker, Scale-up and High Potential Individual applicants have needed B2 since 8 January 2026. Separately, the statement of changes laid on 5 March 2026 raises the English requirement for settlement from B1 to B2 on specified routes with effect from 26 March 2027. The Home Office described the second of these as the first delivery moment of the earned settlement reforms. Everything else in the consultation remains a proposal.
Not yet. It applies to the routes specified in HC 1619, and the government has said it is continuing to consider whether the B2 standard should be extended more widely. Check the position for the specific route your worker is on rather than assuming it applies universally.
The government has said they will. The consultation proposed applying the changes to everyone in the country who has not already received indefinite leave to remain, and the Home Secretary has repeated that intention. It is a stated intention rather than an enacted rule, transitional arrangements were consulted on and remain undecided, and both the Home Affairs Committee and the House of Lords Justice and Home Affairs Committee have opposed retrospective application, the Lords describing it as "manifestly unfair" and potentially unlawful. Treat it as likely but not certain.
No. The reform concerns how people qualify for settlement, not the status of those who already hold it.
Those on the Skilled Worker route in roles below RQF level 6, meaning RQF levels 3 to 5. The occupation code on the Certificate of Sponsorship determines this. The affected group is wider than the phrase "lower-skilled" implies and includes chefs, welders, many administrative roles, hotel and accommodation managers, and most care workers. At least 325,000 visas have been granted to medium-skilled workers since 2021, excluding dependants.
The consultation proposes that accompanying family members of people on work visas would need to qualify for settlement in their own right rather than alongside the main applicant, with reductions applied at individual rather than household level. Median earnings were around £30,200 for employed Skilled Worker dependants and £22,100 for Health and Care dependants, so most would not meet the £50,270 reduction threshold even where the main applicant does. The Lords committee recommended allowing dependants to settle with the main applicant where household income is sufficient. No decision has been published.
The consultation proposes exemptions from the earnings requirement for people on maternity leave and for those with a long-term illness or disability, and invited views on whether other groups should be exempt. That is the proposal as published, not a rule. Do not confirm it to an individual until the final rules appear.
It is proposed for abolition. That route currently allows settlement after ten years' continuous lawful residence, counting time on permissions such as Student and Graduate visas that do not otherwise qualify. The Home Affairs Committee noted that someone could have spent as long as nine years relying on it and would be prevented from settling or significantly delayed. Until the Rules change, the route remains available.
Tell them factually what has been confirmed and what has not, and tell them you will update them when something changes. Do not tell them what their personal settlement date will be. Giving immigration advice is a regulated activity in the UK, and an employer who advises an individual and gets it wrong faces both legal exposure and a badly damaged relationship. Point workers to a regulated adviser for their own case.
Yes, materially. Settlement is the point at which a worker leaves your sponsorship. A ten or fifteen year route means more extension applications, more Certificates of Sponsorship, a longer Immigration Skills Charge exposure following the 32% increase in December 2025, more repeat right to work checks and a much longer period during which a reporting or record-keeping failure could be found on a compliance visit. On the worker side, the Migration Observatory estimates fees rising from around £9,900 over a five-year route to around £16,900 over a ten-year one, largely through the Immigration Health Surcharge.
No. Settled and pre-settled status under the EU Settlement Scheme is out of scope of the earned settlement model, as is settlement under the Windrush Scheme.
The Home Secretary and the immigration minister have both indicated autumn 2026. A response to the consultation is expected before or alongside any rule change, and responses to both select committee reports are outstanding. Bear in mind that changes laid in autumn could be given a later commencement date, possibly aligned with the March 2027 English language change, and that ministers have not ruled out using primary legislation instead of a statement of changes. The reliable place to watch is the GOV.UK earned settlement consultation page.
Build the data set. For every sponsored worker, record the occupation code and its RQF level, the date their qualifying period started, permission expiry, absences to date, English level held, whether the Life in the UK test has been passed, and whether they have a partner or children in the UK as dependants. That work is valuable in every scenario, including the one where nothing changes, and it is the difference between answering a board question in a day and answering it in a month.


